11.–12.06.2025 #polismobility

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Stalled?

Businesses and the Mobility Transition

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The mobility transition is a done deal. Clean air and less noise: the goal sounds promising, but the reality is complicated. Businesses are under immense pressure. A lack of planning certainty, rising costs, and unclear political guidelines hinder progress. At the same time, it is evident: where conditions are right, innovation can succeed.

Symbolic image of an office building with a glass façade.

© Unsplash

The mobility industry is under enormous pressure: rising costs, crumbling markets and an unclear future are putting massive pressure on the sector. Even flagship companies such as ONOmotion, manufacturer of e-cargobikes, have been forced to initiate insolvency proceedings. Industry giants such as Volkswagen have also announced plans to cut 35,000 jobs by 2030 as part of a cost-cutting programme - a decision that will not only hit the automotive industry hard, but also suppliers such as Bosch and Continental. Political uncertainty is doing the rest: with the current survey results, there is growing concern that the climate policy measures of recent years could not only be halted, but even reversed.

Given these developments, the pressing question is: how can businesses not only survive the mobility transition but actively shape it? Which political and economic levers need to be moved to drive this transformation forward?

Political Frameworks – Progress with Obstacles

The mobility transition rests on politically unstable foundations. While regulations like the “Clean Vehicle Directive” require the public sector to prioritize zero-emission vehicles in procurement, many other challenges remain unresolved. For example, while the “European Data Act” aims to ease third-party access to vehicle data, progress on infrastructure expansion and clear policy guidelines is still lacking.

Claudia Kemfert, head of the Energy, Transport, and Environment department at the German Institute for Economic Research, outlines key measures to help: “Rail transport must be strengthened, and investments in rail infrastructure should be tripled at a minimum. Public transport, cycling, and walking should also be bolstered.” She also touches on the Deutschlandticket: “The Deutschlandticket should not only be retained but made even more affordable.”

Additionally, Kemfert calls for stricter EU-level regulations: “EU emissions limits for new vehicles must not be weakened; they should be further tightened.” Other overdue measures include increasing diesel taxes and accelerating the expansion of charging infrastructure.

Planning Certainty – The Missing Puzzle Piece

Portrait of Claudia Kemfert

Claudia Kemfert, Head of Energy, Transport, and Environment at DIW © Thomas Bruns

Businesses are grappling with a central issue: a lack of planning certainty. Long-term investments in e-mobility, charging infrastructure, or climate-friendly technologies require stable frameworks—and these are often absent. Kemfert stresses: “Above all, the frameworks must remain stable, and there must not be constant debates about changes or reversals.”

She cites the debate over the combustion engine phase-out as an example: “The discussion around the so-called combustion engine ban is poison for the German auto industry.” Instead, she advocates for a consistent focus on e-mobility and concrete measures like “accelerating the expansion of charging infrastructure and introducing special electricity tariffs for charging.”

However, Kemfert sees the mobility transition as extending beyond technology: “It’s not just about a technological shift but also a new understanding of mobility. Around 90% of all vehicles currently sit idle for 23 hours a day. Cars are not vehicles but parking objects that consume enormous amounts of infrastructure and space.” This is why she views sustainable mobility concepts like car sharing, ride-hailing, and on-demand vehicles as indispensable components of a competitive and future-ready transportation system.

Shared Mobility and Innovation – A Business Perspective

Mobility expert Augustin Friedel, Senior Manager at MHP, also underscores the urgency of rethinking the mobility transition. Currently, shared mobility providers are particularly burdened by regulatory hurdles. “The requirements are highly heterogeneous, varying from one municipality to another. This creates enormous effort for providers, as they must first evaluate local requirements before ensuring compliance.” A standardization of regulations would be a crucial step forward.

Friedel also criticizes the lack of long-term planning: “Another issue is long-term planning, which is often hampered by the short duration of operating permits and subsidy commitments. Shared mobility providers invest in various markets, and these investments need to pay off in the long term.”

But the responsibility does not lie with politics alone. Friedel believes the private sector must contribute more to the transition: “There’s a lack of strong players who can accelerate the growth of shared mobility and the shift to e-mobility. The automotive industry has historically fulfilled this role in Europe. However, additional financially strong and innovative players are needed to secure financing, technical progress, and implementation.” He cites the U.S. and China as examples, where big tech companies, venture capital funds, private equity, and pension funds are driving mobility transformation.

Looking Ahead

For businesses, the key to the mobility transition lies in strategically and deliberately driving innovation. Friedel explains: “Fundamentally, companies should set the course for innovation and new business models when they are well-positioned in the market.” In economically challenging times, it is more difficult to allocate the necessary resources, but that is precisely when the foundation must be laid to foster innovation while safeguarding the core business. This involves “culture, organizational structures, commitment, and accountability.”

A critical success factor is developing new business models that are data-driven and customer-focused. Friedel believes that many companies should invest more in this area to secure long-term success.

Kemfert emphasizes that stable political frameworks are essential for building trust in the transformation: “Trust can only be built through stable political frameworks and reliability.” Backward-looking debates about so-called technological openness, on the other hand, are harmful. Regarding the necessary infrastructure, she explains: “The technology that ensures climate goals are met in the long term should be promoted. Building multiple infrastructures is costly and inefficient.”

A holistic understanding of mobility is also central to her perspective: “There should be close integration of public transport and ride-sharing concepts, even with bicycles.” Such integrated approaches could not only increase the attractiveness of sustainable mobility but also support the achievement of climate goals.

A car from the company Vay in Las Vegas

With tele-driving technology, Vay aims to offer an alternative to autonomous driving. © Vay

The mobility transition is not self-sustaining. A lack of planning certainty, fragmented regulations, and sluggish infrastructure projects present significant challenges for businesses. At the same time, where conditions are right, innovation can thrive. For instance, Berlin-based startup Vay plans to launch its remote-controlled electric vehicles in Las Vegas this year—not coincidentally. The regulatory environment and market conditions there are better aligned than in many European cities.

The lesson is clear: the mobility transition requires clear guidelines, reliable political decisions, and a firm focus on climate goals. Economy and politics must work hand in hand to enable progress. Only with decisive action will it be possible not just to endure the transition but to actively shape it.

Author

Janina Zogass

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